AI Product Manager | On a mission to help people succeed through the use of AI
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Have you had to make a big decision recently?
Maybe you needed to choose where to move or were in the market for a big-ticket item like a mattress. Maybe you did a ton of research online and asked your friends or nearest neighbors their opinions to try to land on a definitive answer about which choice would be the absolute best, the one that would bring you 100% satisfaction: the city recommended as the #1 place to live, with no air pollution and great schools. Or the product with all five-star reviews (not just 4.5) and exactly the right features for you; the crystal-clear winner.
If you’re like millions of people weighing decisions, you got overwhelmed. You had trouble deciding on the size, color, make, model, the optional features. You felt yourself sinking into mental quicksand, with your clarity about the best choice growing muddier by the minute.
You can end up feeling “decisioned out” to the point that you don’t even have the energy to make smaller, less consequential choices, either.
If you’re like most people who want to make perfect choices, you’ve been afflicted by “choice paralysis,” an inability to choose anything at all because there are simply too many options with too many variations to sift through. Maybe you’ve ended up walking away from buying a new item after all, or giving up and randomly picking from seemingly popular items. You don’t have all day.
The phenomenon of “too much choice” sounds like a joke, but it’s a problem that has been widely documented. Hick’s Law states that the time required to reach a decision increases logarithmically with the number of choices available. And authors have written whole books about it, including The Paradox of Choice: Why More Is Less, by Barry Schwartz. “The fact that some choice is good doesn’t necessarily mean that more choice is better,” he says.
Bleak and potentially depressing as it can be for people to have too many choices, the good news is that using data science, recommender systems can simplify your process of having to choose and make the selection process easier.
What exactly is a “recommender system”? It’s a data-filtering tool that uses machine-learning algorithms to determine consumer behavior patterns, predict user ratings or preferences they’d have, and recommend relevant items to them. In short, it’s software that filters information to help users choose, and it provides them with the most relevant user-based suggestions.
A recommender system expertly narrows the number of items a particular user could consider so that they can continue calmly browsing and eventually make the right choice, confidently select an item, and feel good about the user experience to the point that they feel like they could — or even want to — do it again.
Recommender systems are all the rage. Most major tech companies that have an online presence are taking advantage of the ability to make “intelligent” recommendations based on user profiles, which, in addition to improving customer satisfaction, helps companies optimize by boosting their user engagement and retention rates.
Classic online retailers are also big fans of recommender systems. The most notable example and pioneering leader in product recommendations driven by deep learning is Amazon.com: In 2021, the site accounted for half of all U.S. ecommerce sales (Statista).
Big tech is the primary arena for personalized recommendations, but this technology is also being used for more-specific and focused applications, such as restaurant choices, online dating, social media, and financial services.
What goes on in the inner workings of a recommender system? A recommendation engine does its work in four phases:
Data is gathered from people in two ways: implicitly, without their knowledge; and explicitly.
Implicit data gathering consists of the software essentially following the user around online and noting what they do. When they go to the same page three times in a row or put an item in their cart, the data collection functionality takes note and, judging by what’s collected, starts to infer the user’s typical behavior.
Explicit data gathering takes place when a user is asked to or voluntarily offers information, such as when they write a review, rate a product, like a social media post or leave a comment, or follow an author or musician. This type of data collection also infers user preferences.
One drawback of explicit data gathering is that since people don’t always take the time to rate or review products they buy or provide information in other ways, the available data may be incomplete.
All of this interesting user data is filed away (for instance, in a NoSQL or standard SQL database) for future reference.
Through filtering (such as batch, real time, near real time), the system looks at data relationships and identifies items that show similar user engagement data.
Finally, the data is filtered to collect relevant information so that intelligent, appropriate recommendations can be made to users. Different algorithms can be used when recommending products. Content-based and collaborative algorithms recommend similar content, whereas a cluster algorithm makes recommendations that could also be based on what other users are doing.
The relationships between elements in the collected data are the “glue” that gives recommender systems an understanding of customers’ preferences and helps them know what people want.
Three types of relationship between users and items are looked at in data analysis:
In addition to focusing on these relationships, recommender systems look at data about:
As long as we’re making lists of three…there are also three different types of recommender system: those that do collaborative filtering, those that do content-based filtering, and those that do both types.
A collaborative filtering recommender engine focuses on collecting and analyzing data on user behavior, activities, and preferences in order to predict what a user likes based on their similarity to other users. It does not analyze or understand the content itself (the product, book, or video).
This type of filtering:
There are two ways of filtering collaboratively: memory based and model based.
This type of collaborative filtering:
This type of collaborative filtering:
One drawback of collaborative filtering is that this type of processing takes time and has to start somewhere. A new user on the site or the introduction of a new product is a cold-start problem. You need enough user-item interactions for the system to work; it can’t give product recommendations until the person has interacted with enough items. Companies may be able to decrease the lag time by directly asking people for data (such as their age or interests) when they sign up on a site, and pairing that collected information with item metadata that’s already available to relate the new user to the existing items.
With filtering according to content, similar items are grouped together based on their features. Recommendation algorithms take into account the customer’s preferences plus descriptions of items (e.g., their genre, product type, color, or word length). You know a system is filtering based on content when the interface tells you “If you like that, you might also like this.” Or when it shows you an item that it remembers you were interested in the past, thinking you could still be interested in it.
What are the drawbacks of a recommendation engine using content-based filtering?
A recommendation engine that uses hybrid filtering utilizes both collaborative and content-based data. Not surprisingly, its superior filtering produces the best information.
Netflix is a good example of a company using hybrid recommender filtering on its website. It accounts for users’ interests (collaborative filtering) and also for movie descriptions and features (content-based filtering).
Recommender systems are a sanity saver that can help people break through choice paralysis when making decisions, confidently choose what’s best, and leave them with enough energy and brain cells to focus on making those bigger, tougher decisions.
Will we get to the point where we delegate even our “big” decisions to online expertise? You might ask yourself a big question, such as “Where shall we go on vacation?” or “Who’s the best plumber to fix my overflowing sink?” only to end up checking the web for low plane fares or looking on Yelp for plumber reviews.
So for all intents and purposes, that time is already here…
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